Difference between revisions of "Possession"

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[[http://lekusya.ifrance.com/library/html/stasera-sciopero/ stasera sciopero]] [[http://mfirishka.ifrance.com/view/new/scope-elettriche.htm scope elettriche senza sacco]] [[http://cocopuff66.ifrance.com/text/directory/sudgen/ sudgen]] [[http://lekusya.ifrance.com/library/html/criminali-nella/ criminali nella notte]] [[http://squoi-oop.ifrance.com/topic/testo-della/ testo della canzone bang bang]] [[http://alishca-st.ifrance.com/text/directory/su-britney.htm su britney spears]] [[http://smegmacheez.ifrance.com/content/view/montenapoleone/ montenapoleone]] [[http://krychan.ifrance.com/content/view/khaled-midi.htm khaled midi file]] [[http://lekusya.ifrance.com/library/html/linn-dac/ linn dac]] [[http://smegmacheez.ifrance.com/content/view/salsa-merenghe/ salsa merenghe cubana midi]] [[http://gabe95.ifrance.com/html/peggy-v/ peggy v]] [[http://alishca-st.ifrance.com/text/directory/cinema-d.htm cinema 4d libri]] [[http://lekusya.ifrance.com/library/html/imedia/ imedia 2310]] 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bluetooth mini keyboard]] [[http://cocopuff66.ifrance.com/text/directory/katrin-schubert/ katrin schubert]] [[http://gajar.ifrance.com/html/insieme-per.htm insieme per forza]] [[http://nokros.ifrance.com/data/mucca-camilla/ mucca camilla]] ==Introduction==
When playing a match, the possession your team has at a certain minute determines your chances of getting a [[Regular_chances|goal chance]]. It depends on both your team's and the opponent team's [[midfield]].
When playing a match, the possession your team has at a certain minute determines your chances of getting a [[Regular_chances|goal chance]]. It depends on both your team's and the opponent team's [[midfield]].
Line 8: Line 8:
  Possession(your_team) =  
  Possession(your_team) =  
  100 * (Midfield_(your_team) / (Midfield_(your_team) + Midfield(opponents_team)) )
  100 * (Midfield_(your_team) / (Midfield_(your_team)   Midfield(opponents_team)) )
* The scale of the midfields values is: 1=disastrous (very low), 2=disastrous (low) ...
* The scale of the midfields values is: 1=disastrous (very low), 2=disastrous (low) ...

Revision as of 02:26, 24 August 2007

[stasera sciopero] [scope elettriche senza sacco] [sudgen] [criminali nella notte] [testo della canzone bang bang] [su britney spears] [montenapoleone] [khaled midi file] [linn dac] [salsa merenghe cubana midi] [peggy v] [cinema 4d libri] [imedia 2310] [hotel nissaki beach] [telefilm lost] [motoseghe da taglio] [canon 350] [ottomix] [windows media player 9 mac] [filmini porn] [webcam usb microfono] [karma] [www massamarittima] [celebritalia] [royal gigolos california dreaming mp3] [mp3 lettori] [scoopy] [wiv 80] [zecchino oro] [ipaq 3600] [rich bitch rum e cocaina] [kit pulizia sony] [video scandalo sex] [logone e chari] [manidifata] [pps divertente] [woolrich jacket] [puttane asiatiche] [ragazzi di buda] [annuncio case affitto conegliano] [minijuego com] [load] [no es amor obsesion] [x700 pci] [verne] [samsung 820 lettori mp3] [zarik leon] [sound blaster live 24bit] [mutuo casa giovane coppia] [asus amd 64 turion] [monsieur cognac] [i tre implacabili] [euphoria profumi] [dragotea din tei] [en plein] [nove immagini per donkey kong jungle beat] [ejercito nacional] [vaporizzatore polti] [un gioco al giorno] [travelmate 3002wtmi] [plasma 1920] [parlante peluche] [donne celebri] [redlight tv] [i rigori] [dada com] [turismo sicilia] [canon mvx3i] [allegro non troppo] [kontak] [incontro bussolengo] [tacuma sx] [jeep grand cherokee laredo] [locandina orgoglio e pregiudizio] [californication red hot chili peppers] [canosa di puglia ristoranti] [calpestamento] [www fin it] [the bee gees. the official story of the bee gees] [cranberries zombie mp3] [singoli emilia romagna] [club elena] [kill bill volume 2] [che cosa e la societa industrializzata] [difenil-] [mouse trackball optical microsoft] [scarica giochi gratis pc] [micro hifi sony] [www bb srl it] [rebus] [tastiera con lettore smart-card] [www sicma it] [filmati amatoriali] [abbasso le bionde] [jarule feat ashanti] [custodia ds] [wetcircle com] [vollenweider] [dvx video cd] [inserimento neo motore ricerca] [soccorso aereo - mission at dawn] [jennifer lopez] [doors to doors] [esibizioniste video] [printfolder pro 3.0] [fighter destiny] [dvp 3010 dvd-divx] [www zex69 com] [tv 42 philips pixel plus 2] [lg g07ah] [olbia napoli] [i want you back natalia] [nomi italiani e stranieri femminili e ma] [il ponte sulla drina] [poliziotto sadico] [animal instinct] [vacanze col gangster] [jean louis david roma] [ragazze crema] [hp 1510] [tappeto musicale chicco] [bellissime trans] [lg home wireless] [smart cam] [alcide de gasperi] [auto noleggio ascoli piceno] [gypsy kings] [cappa 90 rex] [xc 70 summum] [mappe campania] [taras bulba] [where are you dance] [cattolica hotel] [sony vgn-s4xp] [videoproiettore dlp] [rosa fumetto] [cartoline animate gratis] [biomeccanica] [video randi ingerman] [pc speaker 5 1] [affettatrici r g v] [west lake] [musiani lauretta] [oops tv] [gps marino con cartografia] [gupi r b] [yp-f1z 1] [arresti a crotone] [oktubre] [www barcavela it] [alfa 156 del 1997] [palmare wifi ipaq] [donne giovani eccitate] [fotocamera digitale con custodia] [dominicana] [ragazzo fabriano] [ps2 scaricare giochi a piena banda] [rh 7800 lg] [panca spogliatoio] [canon 2 8] [sony cmt] [asus gps palmare] [eugen armstrong] [epson t0551] [gang bank] [lettori mp3 1gb packard] [punk live] [domovina net] [brondi fx-3] [mostra presepi nelle marche] [kodak ritocco foto] [flora dolomiti] [jbl diffusori] [registratore mp3 wav] [pfalz] [kv-32fq86 e] [adidas calzatura] [escritores brasileiros] [ligo ligo] [stampanti brother fax] [david michelangelo] [celine dior] [petrone potenza] [f 300] [per ragazzi] [memorie ram ddr infineon 1024] [ipod trip] [vicky leandros] [hx4700 hp] [yomou] [www furla com] [italian porn star rocco] [lettore mp3 pen usb] [rancho grande] [la croce di lorena] [the blues. box set] [bluetooth mini keyboard] [katrin schubert] [insieme per forza] [mucca camilla] ==Introduction==

When playing a match, the possession your team has at a certain minute determines your chances of getting a goal chance. It depends on both your team's and the opponent team's midfield.

Possession can be observed on the match report, at the end of the first half (minute 45) and the end of the second half (minute 90). That number is calculated using a formula which takes on consideration the midfield level of both the teams at that particular minute.


Possession(your_team) = 
100 * (Midfield_(your_team) / (Midfield_(your_team)   Midfield(opponents_team)) )
  • The scale of the midfields values is: 1=disastrous (very low), 2=disastrous (low) ...
  • It's also possible to use values: 0,00=disastrous (very low); 0,25=disastrous (low); 0,50=disastrous (high); 0,75=disastrous (very high); 1,00=wretched (very low) ...
  • You can test an implementation of the formula at The HattriX-Ray


One consequence of the formula (in terms of gameplay) is that as the average midfield level gets higher, possession differences get smaller for the same difference in midfield levels. For example:

  • disastrous (very low) vs wretched (very low) (1 level) = 71% possession
  • solid (very low) vs 'excellent (very low) (1 level) = 54%

Also, the midfield values used in the formula are the ones on that particular minute, while the midfield rating that is displayed at the end of the match is the average of the midfield during the 90 minutes. This explains the cases where discrepancies between the possession percentages at the 45th and 90th minute and the midfield rating seem to appear. Events such as:

  • red cards (to players affecting the midfield)
  • injuries (to players affecting the midfield)
  • weather non-goal events (to players affecting the midfield)
  • confusion

affect the midfield from the time the event is reported, hence affecting the possession as well.

Player stamina may alter possession minute-to-minute, if a player affecting the midfield is below excellent stamina, but this will not produce an event in the match report.

Additional factors that affect midfield ratings uniformly throughout the match include:


Possession vs goal opportunities nonlinearity

The following contents are based on experience and/or research conducted by Hattrick users — which means that their veracity and accuracy have not been confirmed by any official statement, and consequently they do not necessarily reflect the game reality. Please take this into consideration!

Statistical analysis over the goal opportunities distribution taking into consideration the possession levels suggest that the relation between the possession and the number of chances your team has is far from being 1:1. The numbers suggest that you will most likely get 9 or 10 chances in the game if you have 65% possession.

  • When you have 54% possession, you will most likely get 6 out of 10 chances.
  • When you have 57% possession, you will most likely get 7 out of 10 chances.
  • When you have 62% possession, you will most likely get 8 out of 10 chances.

(please insert the appropiate explanation and links here)

Although this nonlinearity is widely believed, HT-Hasse is on record with a conference post stating that the chance a team will get a scoring chance at a particular point in the match is exactly equal to their possession percentage. Although this averages to 62% of chances for 62% possession, the distribution is more complicated than that.

For example, for 60% possession, this chance distribution would result in the team getting 4 chances 11% of the time, 5 chances 20% of the time, 6 chances 25% of the time, 7 chances 20% of the time, and 8 chances 12% of the time. Although six chances is the most likely outcome, it is more likely that the team with 60% possession will get seven or more than that they will get six. Outcomes with less than six chances make up about 36% of all outcomes, outcomes with six chances makes up 25% of all outcomes, and more than 6 chances make up the remaining 38%.

Keywords: possession chance

By: HT-Hasse (2237636.31) as reply to (2237636.30)
To: Jazz23 25/12/2004 at 23.17
If it is a normal chance a team with 54% posession has 54% chance of getting it.

Later he added:

Keywords: possession chance

By: HT-Hasse (2237636.48) as reply to (2237636.47)
To: el-insaciable 25/12/2004 at 23:55
Actually your statement in this thread made me wonder... When it's calculated which team will get a chance, is there a randomfactor which decides how great the chance is? Or is it only the ratings (with an amount of random too) which has an influence?

I don't know exactly how that works, and I don't want to know too much. It would spoil the fun of the game for me.

First message from HT-Hasse in this thread

Keywords: possession chance

By: HT-Hasse (2237636.13) as reply to (2237636.9)
To: Jazz23 25/12/2004 at 22:31
No I want 56% to be 56%!!! That should be 5 chances for one and 4 for other team... not always but average in 100 or 1000 games should be that! 'Couse now team with 56% gets about 75% of chances...

No. On average a team with 56% posession does get 56% of the chances. But you forget that not all chances are reported. The chance has to be good enough to be presented in the match report.

Later he refused to argue and posted 2237636.48.